The future of Iranian women's professional sports development research based on screenwriting

Document Type : Research Paper


1 phd student of sport management

2 faculty member of shahid beheshti university

3 assistant professor of sport management, Islamic azad university, sciences and researches branch

4 Department of Physical Education, Faculty of Literature, Humanities and Social Sciences, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran



The purpose of this future study was to develop Iranian women's professional sports based on screenwriting on the horizon of 1410. This research is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive and survey in terms of data collection. The statistical population of this study consisted of experts in the field of women's sports, 20 of whom were purposefully selected based on expertise criteria. The measurement tool was a questionnaire whose content was taken from previous studies and before its distribution its validity and reliability had been approved by experts with content validity and Cronbach's alpha methods. Structural analysis and scenario analysis approach was used to analyze the data with the help of Micmac and Scenario Wizard software. Findings showed that out of 40 variables affecting the development of women's professional sports in Iran, 12 variables including capital adequacy, private sector participation, income generation and commercialization of women's sports, government investment, attracting financial capital, increasing income levels Increasing the power and presence of women in sports, increasing the number of sports clubs in the field of women's sports, community support for the development of women's sports, increasing women in championship sports, media support, winning quotas in the Olympics Have the future of women's professional sports. Also, the advancement of women's sports on the horizon of 1410, there are 3 scenarios with high scores and higher probability of occurrence, among which 2 scenarios are promising and favorable conditions (Scenarios 1 and 2) and one scenario (Scenario No. 3) conditions. Shows relatively desirable.


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