Student sports futures research with a structural analysis approach

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 PhD Student, Department of Sports Management, Islamic Azad University, Central Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran

2 Associate Professor, Department of Sports Management, Islamic Azad University, Central Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran

10.22084/smms.2021.23170.2744

Abstract

The future of research on participation in student sports with the approach of interaction analysis is the main purpose of this research. This approach is used to plan for the future by analyzing the direct and indirect effects of the key driving forces of the country's student sports. The present research is applied in terms of purpose and in terms of nature, based on new methods of futurology, research, analysis and exploration, which has been done by combining quantitative and qualitative models. The statistical population of the study included executive and academic elites who had sufficient expertise and experience on the subject of student sports. The sampling method was purposive and the sample size was 13. Data were collected through open questionnaires and interviews and document review and by weighting Delphi questionnaires. The collected data were analyzed using Mikmak software and the final analysis was performed on 36 recursive matrices. According to studies and opinions of experts, 8 components (physical 7 indicators, cultural 5 indicators, social 5 indicators, economic 6 indicators, individual 4 indicators, organizational 3 indicators, ecological 3 indicators and managerial 4 indicators) as components and indicators Important in the subject were identified. What can be understood from the state of the scatter plot of variables affecting the future state of student sports is the state of system instability. Most variables are scattered around the diagonal axis of the plane. Except for a few cases that show a high impact on the system, the rest of the variables are almost identical to each other. Among the 36 variables studied in this study, 10 key variables affecting the status of student sports in the horizon of 1415 have been selected. Finally, it can be concluded that the identified factors are a roadmap for improving the situation of student sports on the horizon of 1415.

Keywords

Main Subjects

References

  • حیدری، محمدحسین؛ صفایی مقدم پاکراشت، محمدجعفر (1396). «آموزش آینده‌نگر: اهداف و استراتژی‌ها»، علوم تربیتی و روانشناسی، شماره 2: 17-28.
  • خزاعی، سعید (1394). آینده‌پژوهی: مروری بر روش‌های منتخب، چاپ اول، تهران: مرکز تحقیقات سیاست علمی.
  • راسخ، نازنین؛ سجادی، سیداحمد؛ رضوی، سیدمحمد حسین؛ دوستی، مرتضی (1397). «تحلیل ساختار ورزش آموزشی در ایران»، تحقیق در ورزش آموزشی، 6 (14): 17-44.
  • رضوی، سید محمدحسن؛ زارعی محمودآبادی، محمد؛ پورکیانی، محمد؛ امامی، فرشاد (1397). «ارزیابی کارایی نسبی تیم‌های ورزشی دانشگاه در سیزدهمین المپیاد فرهنگی ورزشی کشور با رویکرد تحلیل پوششی داده‌ها». تحقیق در ورزش‌های آموزشی، 6 (15): 179-200.
  • زمانی، شاهو؛ حسن­پور، مهدی؛ بروجردی، سعید (1398). «تأثیر شرایط اقلیمی کردستان بر وضعیت ورزش دانش‌آموزی». فصلنامه مدیریت مدرسه، دانشگاه کردستان، 2 (4): 99-83.
  • عبدالملکی، حسین؛ حیدری، فاطمه؛ اللهیاری، محبوبه؛ زکی‌زاده، سید بهادر (1397). «آینده تحقیقات مدیریت ورزشی در دانشگاه‌های کشور»، مدیریت و توسعه ورزش، 7 (4): 56-68.
  • ناصح، مهتاب؛ خبیری، محمد؛ جلالی فراهانی، مجید؛ سجادی، سید نصرالله (1396). «تجزیه و تحلیل مبانی نظری ورزشی آموزشی و استخراج از عوامل زمینه مؤثر و با نفوذ است»، تحقیق در ورزش آموزشی، 6 (14): 93-110.
    .doi: 10.22089 / res.2018.1173
  • نظری، رسول (1396). «تدوین مضامین استراتژیک المپیادهای ورزشی درون مدرسه‌ای در استان اصفهان». تحقیق در ورزش‌های آموزشی، 5 (13): 231-248.
  • هژبری، کاظم؛ رمضانی‌نژاد، رحیم؛ همتی‌نژاد، مهرعلی (1392). «اولویت دوره تربیت‌بدنی در میان سایر دوره‌های دوره راهنمایی»، مجله مدیریت و توسعه ورزش، 2 (3): 89-73.
  • همتی، علیرضا؛ گودرزی، محمدعلی؛ حاجیانی، ابراهیم (1398). «نیاز به آینده‌پژوهی در سیستم‌های آموزشی». مطالعات آینده‌پژوهی در مدیریت. دوره 26، شماره 2: 59-67.
  • Aygün, Cihan; Cakir-Atabek (2018). “The futuristic model for physical activity and exercise: active video games”. Physical Activity Review, 6: 45-53.
  • Farias, C., Hastie, P. A., & Mesquita, I. (2018). “Scaffolding student–coaches’ instructional leadership toward student-centred peer interactions: A yearlong action-research intervention in sport education”. European Physical Education Review, 24(3): 269–291. https://doi.org/10.1177/1356336X16687303.
  • Fricke, Hans & Lechner, Michael & Steinmayr, Andreas, (2018). “The effects of incentives to exercise on student performance in college”, Economics of Education Review, 66(C):14-39.
  • Fu, Y., Burns, R.D., Constantino, N. et al. J. (2019). “of sci. In sport and exercise”. Journal of Science in Sport and Exercise. 1 (1): 1-8.
  • Godet, A. J., Meunier, M. F., & Roubelat, F. (2003). “Structural analysis with the MICMAC method & actors' strategy with Mactor method”. Futures research methodology, 7-10.
  • Hamidi, Mehrzad; Rajabi, Hossein; Alidoost Ghahfarkhi, Ebrahim; Zeinizadeh, Mahvash (2018). “Designing and compiling the strategic plan of the Iranian Student Sports Federation”. Research in Educational Sports, 6 (14): 67-92.
  • Han, Myungwoo (2018). Sport Psychology in Korea: The Past, Present, and Implications for Future, http://db.koreascholar.com/article.aspx?code=357344 .
  • Kalle, Jonasson & Jesper, Thiborg (2010). “Electronic sport and its impact on future sport”, Sport in Society, 13: 2, 287-299, DOI: 10.1080/17430430903522996
  • Khashalipour, Vahid (2017). Common Sports in Education, Tehran: Iranian Child.
  • Kovalchik, Stephanie and Reid, Machar (2019). “A calibration method with dynamic updates for within-match forecasting of wins in tennis”. International Journal of Forecasting, 35 (2): 756-766.
  • Lam, M. Y. (2018). “One-Match-Ahead Forecasting in Two-Team Sports with Stacked Bayesian Regressions”, Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Soft Computing Research, 8(3): 159-171.
  • Potts, J. (2018). “Futurism, futurology, future shock, climate change: visions of the future from 1909 to the present”. Portal Journal of Multidisciplinary International Studie, 15(1-2): 99-116.
  • Sarmiento, Kelly; Jill Daugherty, Lara DePadilla (2019). “Youth and high school sports coaches' experience with and attitudes about concussion and access to athletic trainers by sport type and age of athlete coached”, Journal of Safety Research, 69: 217-225.
  • Steiner, Silvan; Gehri, Stefan; Müller, Samuel (2018). Estimating effects of perceptual information and associative knowledge on passing decisions in real-world and scenario conditions. In: 10. Jahrestagung der Sportwissenschaftlichen Gesellschaft der Schweiz (SGS). Abstractband (pp. 52-53). Magglingen: BASPO Eidgenössische Hochschule für Sport Magglingen.
  • Um JS. (2019) Futurology and Future Prospect of Drone CPS. In: Drones as Cyber-Physical Systems, Singapore.
  • Watson, A; Timperio, A; Brown, H; Hinkley, T; Hesketh, KD. (2019). “Associations between organised sport participation and classroom behaviour outcomes among primary school-aged children”. Plos One. 14(1): 1-12.

Files

Share

How to cite

Statistics