Student sports futures research with a structural analysis approach

Document Type : Research Paper


1 PhD Student, Department of Sports Management, Islamic Azad University, Central Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran

2 Associate Professor, Department of Sports Management, Islamic Azad University, Central Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran



The future of research on participation in student sports with the approach of interaction analysis is the main purpose of this research. This approach is used to plan for the future by analyzing the direct and indirect effects of the key driving forces of the country's student sports. The present research is applied in terms of purpose and in terms of nature, based on new methods of futurology, research, analysis and exploration, which has been done by combining quantitative and qualitative models. The statistical population of the study included executive and academic elites who had sufficient expertise and experience on the subject of student sports. The sampling method was purposive and the sample size was 13. Data were collected through open questionnaires and interviews and document review and by weighting Delphi questionnaires. The collected data were analyzed using Mikmak software and the final analysis was performed on 36 recursive matrices. According to studies and opinions of experts, 8 components (physical 7 indicators, cultural 5 indicators, social 5 indicators, economic 6 indicators, individual 4 indicators, organizational 3 indicators, ecological 3 indicators and managerial 4 indicators) as components and indicators Important in the subject were identified. What can be understood from the state of the scatter plot of variables affecting the future state of student sports is the state of system instability. Most variables are scattered around the diagonal axis of the plane. Except for a few cases that show a high impact on the system, the rest of the variables are almost identical to each other. Among the 36 variables studied in this study, 10 key variables affecting the status of student sports in the horizon of 1415 have been selected. Finally, it can be concluded that the identified factors are a roadmap for improving the situation of student sports on the horizon of 1415.


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